Judgment Day Kingdom in numbers – Newsweek Poland

Scottish thriller

Vote from 7 to 22 local time (an hour earlier than in Poland) has about four million eligible and registered voters – only those who live in Scotland (in England alone a population of about 800 thousand. Scots, the world’s 20 million). The forecast is a record turnout – as much as 90 percent. What will decide the Scots, will be clear only on Friday morning – after counting the votes of 32 districts. Some of the largest cities, including Glasgow, calculate them only am Polish time.

The result will decide probably no more than 100 thousand. voters. Poles, which registered 30 thousand., May tip the balance in the vote. Scotland is a country friendly immigration and zasiłkom – so it can be assumed that the majority of Poles would support Scottish independence. The results will be announced around 8 am Polish time.

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Even if Scotland will vote for independence, will not happen a separate country from day to day. Alex Salmond, leader of the nationalist independence day planned in March 2016., After negotiations with the British on the distribution of oil (80-90 per cent. Has accrue to the Scots) and the British public debt (the Scots will have to take on the shoulders of 100-150 billion pounds) . In parallel, Scotland would have to negotiate with Brussels rules for accession to the Union. This conversation will not be easy, because some EU countries – especially Spain – afraid to encourage their own separatist movements and the Scots will want to show that the new state will have in the too easy life.

Interestingly, quickly crumble may also alone Scotland. As said Alistair Carmichael, the British Minister. Scotland, rich in oil, autonomous Shetland Islands, in the case of victory of Scottish independence supporters may decide to stay within the United Kingdom.

Cracking Island

In the case of Scottish independence may lead to currency earthquakes in the UK. Some economists fear the results similar to the crisis of 2008., And a sharp fall in the pound by more than 10 percent. Scotland produces about 10 per cent. British GDP, which represents almost a third of the British territory, and its inhabitants is 8.5 percent. all Britons (5.3 million Scots to 53.5 million people in the UK.)

The new state of the Scottish potentially economic might. It has 20 percent. European stocks, 25 percent. renewable energy sources and 60 percent. of oil. However, according to most experts, if created, will not easy in the first years of economic take-off. Some economists think that will record budget deficit, which is not offset profits from oil.

The Scots circulates many jokes mocking of their avarice. – Do you suffer for some phobias may avarice? – Asks Scot psychiatrist. – No, not at all. I’m generous like my father. On his deathbed, sold me a gold watch … I paid him by check – corresponds to the Scot on the couch dr. Freud from Edinburgh. In fact, many Scots are and hospitable, and noble, and open to other people. This is not South of England and London. It is easy to strike up a conversation on the street, to be invited for a beer or home (which the Englishman is, as you know, a fortress.)

Cologne sponsored

The ruling Social Democrats Scotland have become accustomed to generous subsidies from the budget of London. I do not really Scotland is subsidizing England. Has for years vice versa. For every Scot, on his social spending, education and health, went from the central budget of more than 1,200 pounds a year more than the Englishman.

Scots upset that the money depends on the decision of London, it does not collect on no taxes themselves and they decide on the amount of receipts, only the ruling Conservatives in London. This so-called democratic deficit. But the fact is that thanks to “bribe” (as they say with contempt, some in Edinburgh) from the central government Scots have free prescriptions for medicines and free college. We strongly do not have a snake in your pocket when it comes to public spending. English and must pay dearly partially prescription and pay for tuition at colleges and universities (9 thousand. Pounds per year). What is the colony, which subsidizes the colonizer?

Scottish patriots say that it’s not just about money, but about the pride and the ability to fully control their own destiny and model of society. The chance – despite the high degree of autonomy since 1997. – Scots still do not have. On the 59 deputies elected from Scotland, only 12 are members of the ruling coalition in London, conservative-liberal, and only one is the only one deputy from the party of Prime Minister David Cameron. Scottish local government, headed by Alex Salmond, leader niepodległościowców, there is – according to the majority of Scots – a fairly broad economic and fiscal competence.

The independence of oil

A pus. Do not make it that Scotland is a new Norway? Probably not. According to official data, two-thirds of the Scottish deposits have already been mined (profits went to the common budget, but most returned to Scotland). It is estimated that oil revenues will constitute only one-fifth of the proceeds to the Scottish budget. Scots camp “Yes” expect, however, that new methods of extraction will make the oil flow will be broad stream for another 30-40 years. Injection of 300 billion pounds (mentioned by Alex Salmond) would have given the new state the foundations to build a prosperous economy and create a savings fund for future generations (as in Norway). Only that petroleum is a great unknown, and some experts believe that the deposits are already used in the two countries, and oil revenues will fall every year, and do not grow. Official figures say they have recovered 40 billion barrels, and to extract remaining 24 billion.

Nothing will be the same

– This is the last chance for independence, grasp it with both hands – Alex Salmond argued. – Last chance to avoid falling into the economic trap door – Scot ranted former Prime Minister Gordon Brown.

– I will vote against independence, because we, as usual, all schrzanimy – Finley said Youngowi, author of the book “Newsweek Insight” a Scotsman in a pub in a remote mountain village. If such a healthy Scottish skepticism prevail, tomorrow it turns out, however, that Scotland is not independent. But this will only mean that Cameron and leaders of other parties will have to puff and puff on the Scots, to provide them with the promised maximum autonomy. Regardless of the outcome of the vote on Thursday, September 18, 2014 on. The United Kingdom will no longer be the same as a few days earlier.

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Read also: What Scotland will gain independence?

Judgment Day Kingdom in numbers – Newsweek Poland