Exit the UK from the European Union would have dire consequences – and for this country and for the whole Community. Despite this, the British decide in a referendum whether they want to remain in the EU. Its outcome is not a foregone conclusion.
Most likely to vote occurs in a few months. Therefore, it is one of the most pressing issues in Europe, alongside the crisis refugee and the debt problems of some member states, including primarily Greece.
The aftermath of the election promise
The head of British diplomacy Philip Hammond said that a referendum on his country’s exit from the EU, the so-called. Brexitu (English cluster of words “Britain” and “exit” – output) can take place in June.
And all of this is a result of the promise contained in the Conservative Party election manifesto three years ago. The Conservatives won those elections to parliament announcing a referendum on their country’s future in the EU. Their goal – besides winning the election – it was halting the deepening integration of the Union.
Question on how to answer British electorate is: “Is the United Kingdom should remain part of the European Union or to leave it?”.
Recent polls suggest that supporters remain within the EU do not have enough clear majority to be able to sleep peacefully. According to the research center YouGov in January 2016 years for staying in the EU were in favor of 51% of those who have decided that they will take part in the referendum.
They believe that membership in the Union and the influx of immigrants from the new member states who would like to staunch opponents of the EU, conducive to the economic development of their country and strengthen its geopolitical position.
Opponents continued membership of Great Britain in the EU can be found not only in the ranks of the extreme right-wing United Kingdom Independence Party (UKIP), for which it is This main demand. They also can be found in the benches of the ruling conservatives (according to Reuters third of ministers are Eurosceptics), and the opposition Labour Party.
“ No” for “United States of Europe”
Wyspiarscy critics Union accuse her that she too far gone from the idea of the Common Market (British have accepted membership in the European Economic Community in the referendum of 1975) to strive for ever closer political integration – “United States of Europe.”
They want to regain control over the borders of their own country and put an end to bezwizowemu movement within the EU. They argue that Britain receives little from the EU in return for billions of pounds a membership fee.
The government argues that it tends to remain in the UK in the EU, but also insists on reforms in the Union. The basis for voting in a referendum for the continuation of membership are to be changes in the functioning of the Union that London wants to force the other European partners.
British Prime Minister David Cameron has announced that it will be “the whole soul and body” for staying in the EU if only she will accept his demands.
veto for benefits and deeper integration
And what demands? Cameron demands that his country could not take part in deepening European integration in those areas where not desire it. London would like also to national parliaments could veto a European directive.
The British government also expects to recognize that the euro is not the only currency of the EU, since in his view the EU countries outside the euro zone are currently being discriminated against.
Cameron insists on guarantees that the further deepening of the monetary union and its associated regulations will not be imposed on other States.
And it especially goes to him about it, that the British did not have to submit for financial assistance to these countries Eurozone that get into economic trouble.
And finally: United Kingdom wants to reduce social benefits for economic migrants from EU countries. In the light of British intentions access to these benefits could be entitled to newcomers only after four years of residence in the UK.
Breaking solidarity
Trying to make this change raises the biggest objection Poland and Hungary, but also other countries say it would have meant breaking European solidarity and the principles of freedom of movement of workers and equal treatment of EU citizens.
Reform of the EU, which calls for the United Kingdom, will be discussed during the February 18-19 EU summit in Brussels.
Politicians from other EU Member States and EU diplomats are trying to speak with a British referendum as cautious not to provoke accusations of attempted interference in the internal affairs of the United UK.
imbalance
stirring words do not spare while representatives of business
Some economists warned that in the event of withdrawal from the EU United Britain would lose 2 percent. of their GDP.
David Folkerts-Landau, chief economist of Deutsche Bank, acknowledges that the EU without the UK zgubiłaby a lot of its weight on the diplomatic – and this at a time when the growing threat from Russia, which reigned the attitude of “revanchism”. According to the German expert, in effect “Brexitu” waver would have been too equilibrium inside the EU – for dominance of the axis of decision-making in Berlin and Paris, for which the natural counterweight is currently in London.
Extremely consistent in this regard are even both sides a fervent political dispute in Poland. Both President Andrzej Duda from Law and Justice, and Donald Tusk, former leader of the PO and now head of the European Council, the EU body, emphasized recently unanimously that reversal of Britons from further integration would bring irreparable harm economic and political Europe, weakening its role on the global arena.
The Scots do not want to abandon the Union
In the opinion of former British Prime Minister, Tony’s ego Blair, leaving the EU could also mean the end of another, lasting 300 years , union: Scots and English. – If the British vote for leaving the EU, the Scots will vote for leaving the UK – he said.
According to the ombudsman. EU Scottish National Party, if the Scots will be forced out of the EU against their will, it will happen “fundamental breach a partnership of nations “. He says Stephen Gethins, his compatriots will demand in such a situation the next referendum on. Scottish independence.
In the wake of them could follow Ireland (with Northern Ireland.) And Welsh.
There is great Britain then remain suspended in the balance.
Julius Urbanowicz, PolskieRadio.pl
