Since clearly, as fatal to the candidacy of a means is terminated moderate candidate in the presidential election in the United States, there seems to be an original Trend with the mediocre candidacy to give candidates: withdraw from the Fight. First, François Hollande, opted not to run again as President of the French Republic. Tuesday renounced then Sigmar Gabriel, the Chancellor candidacy. Don’t like Clinton.
in the MIRROR
5/2017
The power hunger of the candidate Schulz
The question is whether this is going to end with a Chancellor candidate, Martin Schulz, the better. A bit of the affects of the SPD, such as HSV, where more often a new coach came in, and brought but little. Well possible that the SPD is a lack of much more than just the right candidate for Chancellor. The crisp message is missing – the big idea that is easy to communicate, convincing political recipes, to the point, all of the panning.
you can tell What a huge impact the right history, economy, stated Nobel laureate Robert Shiller just impressive. It will give examples of how the right Narrative have economically measurable positive effect, he writes. So how in the thirty years ago, when U.S. President Franklin to his countrymen, Roosevelt repeatedly told how good it is, money (for the Right) and fears of the future dismantle. Or, clearly dubious, as it is now, as a few words from Donald Trump in the night of the election submitted to the financial markets at the height of the course shift.
In the case of the social Democrats, sounds, the crisp message is slightly shortened: We are not well, of course, are on the Agenda in 2010, to the tough reforms that we have Germany economically from the misery in the first place, saved, just, was now, perhaps, everything so good, and a bit of social must all be, of course, clearly, much fairer, especially because of this bad globalization is, in essence, Yes, although of course we are also still convinced that that too much social is not good, because, uh, yeah. Do you, Schulz.
The Dilemma with the Agenda 2010
The message is not quite optimal. And it also, of course, is not so easy to formulate a crisp message. The Insidious Agenda 2010 is that it was praised completely over – the-top, and then, of course, not quite easy, as somehow, but not so great umzuerklären, if you realize that their (former) electorate counts to a large extent measurable to the losers. As new estimates of the German Institute for economic research (DIW) showed, the real incomes of the bottom ten percent in Germany today, more than a whopping ten percent lower than at the start of the Red-Green end of the Nineties. Questions of the social-democracy?
The mad is also, on closer Inspection, not so clear is whether the Agenda has such a large share of that in Germany, unemployment is just in the years that followed, starting in 2006, decreased significantly, and the economy grew much stronger than elsewhere; experts have great difficulties to confirm this empirically. The twist was probably more the fact that at some point, the largest unit loads were digested, the construction industry had no excess capacity and more, the world economy Boom started and the government is reformed nothing large or reduced, so also no longer so much took away. Good for the economy.
it is Well possible that also a significant part of the real economic effect of the Agenda has emerged about the kind of narrative momentum, the Shiller for major economic phenomena identified. Prior to 2006, Germany was completely run down – what a runner was at some point to the recession itself – to not be since 2006, suddenly, as an example of a universal economic model of the rule of law explains what is also misleading, since the country is so different today Yes, and we should have sufficient exhaust and other scandals. And for years, as good as any liberal reforms. Suddenly the world can happen, what will Our company take’s left, not a race to the layoffs, the company suddenly amazingly persistent in your staff.
video analysis: candidate Schulz – work
A Story could quickly have a real effect, says Shiller. If all of us believe that it runs, also sees no reason to dismiss people – which, in turn, confirms the Story. Economic miracle, at least seemingly. Exactly the opposite of what was seen in the high times of crisis, when nothing was good, and there was, therefore, constantly redundancies, the rails, in turn, to confirm that nothing was good. Tail light Germany, at least apparently.
needs The SPD a new Story
If this is true, it is clear, where – politically translated – the Problem of the social Democrats. Although the Agenda-Story worked somehow, just not necessarily by what has taken its own clientele: the reduction of unemployment benefit up to the higher co-payments for drugs. And it is also not clear how long the Story contributes economically. Forever is also the best story.
The Drama is that of social-democratic ruling trying since then to repair the hopelessly – with light effect:, Otherwise, would have to be long-acting in the polls, the social democratic government have provided members for minimum wages, Pension improvements, and the like. You can be bad for the Evil and Anti-Evil at the same time. And only of justice, no economic dynamism with plenty of new jobs. A firm message must be so. There is also a farewell to the old Agenda-the Story is part of the software. For the sake of simplicity.
This would also mean, however, is something Else. Only if the new candidate Schulz found such a Story in the next few months until the election, it could mean the end of work as well As the infamous Gabriel was not in a timely way, Clinton.
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