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expectations should be subdued. Several with Syria addressed the diplomats have described the mood that prevailed prior to the talks, which are scheduled to begin this Monday in Astana. Both the Assad Regime as well as the representatives of the rebels, participating in the negotiations in the Kazakh capital, have made it clear that it could only go for a ceasefire. Also reign over it already different ideas.

author: Christoph Ehrhardt, a correspondent for the Arab countries, based in Beirut. consequences:

Damascus local arms preferably includes standstills, in which the rebels give up, to give in return for an Amnesty of their weapons or pull off. The rebels demand a country-wide cease-fire, which goes hand in hand with the exchange of prisoners and access for a helper to besieged regions. The head of their Delegation, Muhammad Allousch, a leader of the Salafist militia Dschaisch al Islam (army of Islam), spoke of a “Test for the Power of Russia and its influence on the Regime and Iran.” If Moscow of a war party wanted to be a Warranty, should it prevail against Tehran and Damascus. Otherwise, an even bigger Failure.

Little hope for results in Kazakhstan

The Kremlin, as well as foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov to let the Public know, the Russian leaders hope that the Geneva peace process will get back on track. The UN special envoy for Syria, Staffan de Mistura, who is responsible, has announced at the Astana talks present, which have been initiated without his Intervention.

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But also representatives of Moscow showed in the past few days, Reportedly restrained with regard to the possible results of the talks in Kazakhstan, the Moscow, together with Turkey and Iran to the factory. “But there are pressures and new dynamics,” says a Diplomat, who also refers to the fact that the Parties in Astana in comparison to the Geneva talks bigger impact on the players on the field of battle.

doubts as to enforcement

One difference to past discussions, is that on the side of Assad’s opponents more rebel representatives have a say, get to feel the outcome of the discussions directly. “Middle men” of Moscow, it is reported by an observer in the Syrian capital of Damascus, had commented favourably on their willingness to compromise. Accordingly, the opposition leaders who led their struggle, especially by Turkish Hotels to be due to the lower suffering pressure significantly more bulky conversation partner than the military commanders.

peace talks on Syria-conference in Astana.

But the question of whether the initiators of the Astana talks at the end will be willing or able to enforce the agreements made, in fact, remains in place. Even the current truce, which was agreed to by Russia, Turkey and Iran, is, like other weapons previously rest – from ongoing battles to undermine. Because the credibility of the new Turkish-Russian tandem, which seems to be willing to come in Syria to the business. Russia is ready to make a Deal according to his ideas, and also the Turkey, in the meantime, your interest in a military safe zone of influence in Northern Syria to topple along the border about the desire of President Bashar al-Assad.