It is the likely future head of state is speaking, and hardly anyone listens to. As Frank-Walter Steinmeier is recommended on Tuesday afternoon in the Union group once again officially as the new Federal President, the deputies of the CDU and CSU prefer to be on their mobile phones, whispering excitedly to each other.
Shortly before the beginning of the meeting, there were first messages, now the news is doing the rounds: Sigmar Gabriel does not want to be the Chancellor candidate of the SPD. Instead, Martin Schulz will take over until a few days ago, President of the EU Parliament, the party Chairman of the social Democrats and Angela Merkel. Just while Steinmeier speaks at the Union, declared Gabriel in front of the SPD parliamentary group of his decision. The hall is located just a few meters next to the of the Union.
Angela Merkel is at this time, of course, also in the picture. Say you can be in the group, meeting at first nothing, really carefully also, you don’t seem to listen to Steinmeier: non-stop you typing in your phone, so participants in the session. What does this mean now? This is the question the Chancellor. Your first evaluation will be: Easier than against Gabriel, the campaign against Martin Schulz is not. Merkel knows the Numbers. Your Vice-Chancellor is not in the population for long as popular as you. Schulz had obtained against it in the popularity rankings the last part of even. Take the personal survey results as the basis, can only conclude: Schulz has a better chance against Merkel as Gabriel. So it is not a rating of only Gabriel – so you have seen the in the Union, top in the last few weeks. To the outside, we demonstrated Composure, according to the Motto: we care, with whom the SPD loses against us. Internally, however, they expected in the CDU and the CSU in order – or better: they hoped that Gabriel accesses the top candidate this time, and Schulz, Steinmeier at the Federal foreign office would follow. “We are now going to expire, neither in panic nor in Depression,” says CDU Vice Thomas Strobl on Tuesday as one of the first, the Surprise to the coalition partners. The strategists in the Konrad-Adenauer-house, and in the group peak will now need to rethink how to keep Schulz at Bay. General Secretary Peter Tauber is once restrained: The element of Surprise is now clearly on the side of the SPD. Gabriel’s liberation can give the party a boost of motivation. This is also reflected in the disastrous survey of low values and the social Democrats to reduce in the short term, the distance to the Union, it could also in the Union camp for nervousness. And in a sensitive Phase: Merkel can no longer have the support of their own people since the refugee crisis, a hundred percent sure. Although the Union had values just slowly back to the 40-percent mark, which is approximated, for the beginning of February is recognized in addition, a reconciliation retreat with the CSU. Small setbacks, but can have a big impact. Clear edge against the Grand coalition Merkel has to expect that Schulz will show in the election campaign, much clearer edge against you, as Gabriel can do it would be. For one thing, he is not involved in the Cabinet discipline and, on the other, he embodies the “Grand coalition” of the past few years. This is precisely where Gabriel now constitutes, among other things, his resignation. With other words: The SPD does not want a new Grand coalition. This is the approach that is to pretend to Schulz, is now in the election campaign. That could make the campaign more exciting, because the Alternatives are clearer. For Merkel, it makes the matter more complicated: you will not be able to invoke so easily on their eternal retreat option is a Grand coalition. Gabriel would be with a non-Grand coalition-rate in any case less credible to have been worthy of it. Schulz’ candidacy do not like the bottom line is, surprisingly, an Unknown, he is for Merkel. You know him as a man of the clear word, she is aware that he will be a good choice of fighters. For years, she has worked on the European stage closely with the EU Parliament President. As Mr. Europe, many Christian Democrats therefore saw in him the ideal choice as foreign Minister. Now it
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