Poles living in the UK in connection with the possible Brexitem afraid of rising food prices, and predict that the country can zbiednieć. – For sure it will be worse, it will be the duty, the food will be more expensive, it is very much trouble for Poles who live here – she told the Polish Press Agency living in the UK Polka.
– No one really knows what the consequences may cause the output of Great Britain from the EU. Entrepreneurs, those who import various goods to the islands, they are afraid, for example, the emergence of customs duties on goods from the EU. Does this mean for the average citizen increase in prices for basic goods, as in supermarkets 80 percent. food products come from the continent – PAP said the young man.
The Poles in Britain about the consequences Brexitu
Source: PAP
The output of the EU brings to the part of the spectrum compatriots to return to the Polish. – Are you sure I’d have to go back to work for Polish and the lowest national, it would be very hard for me to keep children who are studying. Here, working on the English lowest national, it is a relief. I am with you to keep here, I also have the means to even send Polish, help my mother – explains encountered on the street of the British woman.
Desired citizenship
So, before the EU referendum in Britain has increased the number of Poles applying for British citizenship and residency rights for confirmation. As she told the Polish Radio director of the East Center for Advice Barbara Drozdowicz, in the last half of the year sees a surge of interest in obtaining some form of confirmation of permanent residence with the intention of further naturalization, or adoption of British citizenship. It must be preceded by a period of several years of residence.
Doubtful tomorrow if Brexitu are not only those Poles who have made no effort to regulate his stay. Set in London, East European Advice Centre receives questions even of those Poles who live in Britain for years, or in the event of return from holiday after the referendum and possible Brexicie will pass through the border.
Brexit – special service of Polish Radio & gt; & gt; & gt;
This is despite assurances Advocates Brexitu that the rules will not be applied retroactively, and no one facing deportation. In contrast, the possibility of further renegotiation of the principle of free travel to work was mentioned at the end of the campaign, Prime Minister David Cameron – advocate stay in the EU.
– The negative consequences for me personally will only be such that the longer I will probably exceed the limit. Since I have British citizenship, this life here for me not to change, perhaps only in financial terms, because the country can zbiednieć – quietly says another man, interviewed by the Polish Press Agency.
Battle of Britain
Main Postbank economist Monika Kurtek admits that the black scenario assumes that some Poles who work in the UK would have to return to the country, which would affect our labor market. On the other hand, “Dziennik Gazeta Prawna” indicates that because of Brexitu the UK can go up to 400 thousand. Poles. The newspaper provides, however, that the countrymen will be rather trying to make a life in another country in exile. “The experience of migrant show that if someone has already lived abroad and experienced better quality of life, not so easy he will return to the Polish” – writes “Dziennik Gazeta Prawna”.
– In 2008., When Britain began to feel the effects of the economic crisis, people were moving to other EU countries, including the Netherlands, and then to Norway. A similar phenomenon can be expected when the British decide to exit the EU – she told the prof. Izabela Grabowska from the University of Social Psychology and the Centre for Migration Research UW. Other experts into a pool of potential directions away yet make Germany and Ireland – we read in the article.
As much as 32 percent. Poles intend to apply for British citizenship regardless of the results of the referendum, with a further 21 percent. It will do so, if the country will perform with the EU – like “Dziennik Gazeta Prawna”. “For those who already have such citizenship will gain the labor market will be more favorable, because the competition will be less” – sums up.
Gold weaker, frank up
The Economist Postbank also warns that short-term decision to leave the Community by Britain, would shift investment to the so-called “safe havens”. This means that zdrożałyby dollar or the Swiss franc and gold have lost value.
This is supported by Rafał Antczak Deloitte. – It is known that it will be a large scale of the turmoil in the financial markets, and as there is confusion in the markets and is to escape to the dollar, the dollar loses – rated Antczak. – In such cases, countries such as Poland, some peripherals, so they can get the backfire – he added.
Paul Szałamacha, Minister of Finance: we are ready to Brexit
Source: TVN24 / x-news
Piotr Kuczynski, an analyst at the investment house Xelion, provides that the turmoil will last a few days, and the weakness of our currency will not be long lasting. – In the long-term weakening of the zloty does not believe in the short run, of course, there would escape investors, but the maximum of two months, all three would return to its previous state – says the expert.
Trouble Polish exporters
Analyst Mariusz Adamiak with PKO BP warns, however, that leaving the UK European Union may result in a decrease in exports of Polish food. Britain is one of the leading importers of juices, dairy products and sweets from Polish. The economist notes that food is one of the pillars of our trade relations with London. – Agri-food industry very much enjoy in the Polish-British cooperation. This is an important direction of exports and it is probably the case Brexitu not end, but may occur at a later date problems. Also, for the whole economy – suggests the expert.
The Islands growing demand for euros and dollars before the referendum on Brexicie
This is pointed out also Michael Dembinski of the British-Polish Chamber of Commerce. He believes that Brexit may weaken trade in agriculture between the two countries. – We see a huge increase in the presence of Polish agri-food products in the islands. Only in 2013 the company exported to Tesco UK food from Polish worth about 1.5 billion zlotys. These foods not only goes to the Polish diaspora – emphasizes member of the British-Polish Chamber of Commerce.
– After Brexicie, trade between Warsaw and London may be subjected obostrzeniom even by the introduction of customs duties – said Michael Dembinski, but emphasizes that the British want to trade with Europe.
Brexit this is our chance?
Rafal Antczak Deloitte points out that there must be such that the consequences for the Polish will only be negative. It draws attention to the fact that today the EU is dominated by Germany, which are pushing their decisions, “hiding behind the European Commission.” – It’s not that simple, that the Germans are doing something in spite of everything, there is simply no one else who would have any ideas – comments.
– At the same time, “the fear of German dominance in Europe is very large,” so Germany after Brexicie not be able to pursue a policy of selfish, but rather will look for a partner for this policy – says Antczak. – Germany may be forced to seek a large country of the EU, which together will lead politician “- he added.
In this country, stresses may be Poland, today the most stable large EU country. Mr. Antczak draw a line at the same time, even if Brexit not going to happen, it will be searched for a different model of integration. – Poland should have an idea of this model – he says.
already feel the effects
On the other hand, Piotr Kuczynski, an analyst at the investment house Xelion believes that one of the consequences Brexitu however, will push the Polish for “Meeting Europe”. It argues that the six countries of the oldest Union very consolidate, and the rest will be on the periphery.
Margaret Starczewska-Krzysztoszek Confederation Lewiatan d DD, that the effects of a potential Brexitu are already being felt, because gold has weakened, and the “cost of money for the needs of the state budget is already higher.” – We have a weak stock market, will be even weaker – comments.
IAR / PAP / fc
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