Senator Ted Cruz unexpectedly won the GOP primaries in the states of Kansas and Maine, while in Louisiana and Kentucky only narrowly lost to Donald Trump. As a result, the billionaire advantage over Cruz dropped to less than 100 delegates.
It was definitely a good night for Cruz, who is considered ultrakonserwatystę – evaluated according to commentators. Texas senator definitely strengthened its position as the main rival and alternative to the controversial billionaire Trump, who remains the leader in the race for the presidential nomination of the Republican Party (GOP).
Cruz won on Saturday a huge advantage in two of the four states that have carried out the republican primaries and the other two lost to Trump only a few percentage points. Totally not worked so pre-election polls. Eg. The study of Louisiana, the most important of voters in the state on Saturday, gave Trumpowi almost two times more votes than Cruzowi, and ultimately Trump defeated Senator from Texas ratio of 41.4 to 37.8 percent. the vote.
Cruz was on Saturday, another reason for satisfaction. He won in a poll of more than 2.5 thousand. conservative activists who take part in the Washington conference cpace (Conservative Political Action Conference). As much as 40 percent. the participants of the meeting pointed out that it was Cruz most would see as the GOP nominee. Second place was supported by the establishment Sen. Marco Rubio (30 percent)., Trump thirds (15 percent.), And the fourth regarded as the most moderate of the GOP candidates Ohio Governor John Kasich.
– We must prevent a catastrophe, they will gain the nomination by Trump. This will happen if we continue to split. It is time for us to unite – said Cruz on Saturday night, urging the other two GOP candidates to withdraw from the race and support his campaign.
In total, since the beginning of the primaries Trump won in 13 states, and Cruz, six. Billionaire still leads in terms of acquired delegates who will participate in the July GOP convention that will nominate the final party’s candidate in the November presidential election.
But – as calculated a CNN – his lead over Cruz declined after Saturday’s primaries to less than 100 delegates. Trump has already guaranteed himself – according to CNN – 385 of 1,237 needed to win the nomination, Cruz – 298, 126 and Rubio.
Source: CNN / YouTube
The weaker-than-expected outcome Trump analysts explained intensified in the last days of mobilization against billionaire from the GOP establishment and donors, more and more frightened by the prospect of gain nomination unpredictable political outsider. In addition, trading Trump could weaken the last GOP candidates debate, which crossed the boundaries, moving about male genitalia. Against him could also affect the support of nationalist and former member of the Ku Klux Klan, David Duke, who said it would be “a betrayal of the heritage”, if a white American will vote for Trump.
According to the polls, exit polls, those voters in Louisiana, who only in recent days they decided for whom they will vote, did not support Trump. It credence to the theory that proves successful campaign opponents Trump.
“I would like to have a race one on one”
The billionaire tried, however, to keep a good face, convincing on Saturday evening his followers that he has achieved a very good result. Defeat in Kansas and Maine explained that he spent on the campaign before the vote after only two and a half hours in each of these two states.
– Cruz should have a good result in Maine because the state is close to Canada – he added, pointing to the fact that the senator from Texas was born in Canada and have Canadian citizenship, which, according to Trump calls into question his eligibility for the presidency USA.
At the same time the billionaire called Senator Rubio to withdraw from the race.
– Rubio suffer very bad results and I urge him to back off. I would like to have a one on one race, only CRUZ – he said.
The prospect of gain presidential nomination GOP by Trump is a growing dread more moderate politicians GOP who fear that this may mean not only a defeat in the battle for the White House with the likely candidate Democrat Hillary Clinton, but also the fact that the Republicans will lose control on the US Senate. Trump provokes fact that negative opinions of the analysts expect a large mobilization of Democratic voters against him.
But Cruz, who is popular mostly very religious, conservative evangelicals it is not a favorite of the Republican elite. The 45-year-old senator, like Trump, presents itself as a candidate “antyestablishmentowy.” Though it is just US senator first term, it is already famous as one of the most uncompromising politicians. Fighting for the repeal of the controversial health care reform Obamacare, for 21 hours two years ago blocked the rostrum of the Senate to block the adoption of the US budget. The result was a dozen days “shutdown” or paralysis of federal institutions and the forced leave thousands of civil servants.
The GOP increasingly spoken so called scenario. Contested convention, often called a brokered convention (disputed or set convention) to block the candidacy of Trump during the GOP convention, which will be held 18-21 July in Cleveland, Ohio. This scenario can succeed only on the condition that Trump – even if he wins the primaries – will not win them the necessary majority, or 1,237 delegates. Then only in the first ballot at the convention, delegates are required to vote loyal to the candidate they represent, because they won their district. If Trump would not get him more than 50 percent. votes would be needed a second and perhaps a third vote, the delegates would have complete freedom as to how to vote, and even support a completely new person, who was not involved primaries.
African Americans supported Hillary Clinton
As for the Democrats this Saturday primaries were quite successful for Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont, he defeated Clinton in two states: Nebraska and Kansas. She was the first lady won only one, but it is much ludniejszym Louisiana.
Once again, Clinton could count on African Americans, who make up more than 30 percent. voters in this state, and as in previous primaries massively voted on Saturday just for her.
– America has never ceased to be great – Clinton said Saturday evening in Detroit, referring to the slogan Trump.
– But there must be united again. Diversity is a strength, not a weakness of America – added.
In total, since the beginning of the primaries Sanders won in seven, and Clinton in 11 states, which gives it the position of the overwhelming favorites in the race for the Democratic nomination.
As calculated a CNN, Clinton has already secured its 1121 and Sanders 474 delegates 2,383 needed to win the nomination.
Such a good result Clinton consists of up to 471 so-called. superdelegates, or prominent Democrats who will take part in the convention, regardless of the results of state primaries.
Source: CNN / YouTube
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