Wednesday, March 2, 2016

Super Tuesday in the United States. Triumph of Donald Trump and the specter of defeat against Republicans – Polish Radio

Donald Trump among Republicans and Hillary Clinton among Democrats is Superwtorku winners. Businessman and former secretary of state won in most American states, which yesterday held presidential primaries.


 

Results Hillary Clinton

 

In Tuesday’s presidential primaries was US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton among Democrats won in seven, and Senator Bernie Sanders in four smaller states. This means that Clinton won far more delegates to the July convention of the party.


 
 
 

Clinton won Tuesday in Texas, Virginia, Massachusetts, Georgia, Tennessee, Alabama, Arkansas, that in seven of the 11 states where it held that day Democratic primaries. Her rival, showing himself as a socialist, Sen. Bernie Sanders, won in the small state of Vermont, which represents in the US Senate, as well as in Oklahoma, Minnesota and Colorado.


 

This means that Clinton has strengthened its position as favorites in the Democrats to the White House and Sanders will be difficult to make up for losses in subsequent primaries.


 

In total, during Superwtorku (Super Tuesday), as determined by virtue of the fact that voted at the same time so many states, Clinton and Sanders could get 878 delegates from 4765, who will take part in the July Democratic convention; It will select the final party’s candidate in the November presidential election. To win the nomination need 2,383 delegates. Estimates “New York Times”, Clinton won Tuesday at least 453, and Sanders 284 delegates to the July convention party, but they are not yet complete calculation.


 

Clinton is satisfied

 

– What a Super Tuesday! – Clinton said in a triumphant speech, delivered at a rally in Florida. – I will fight for every vote. This country belongs to all of us, not just those at the top – assured. – The rate of elections has never been higher, and the rhetoric that we hear on the other side (ie, in the candidates of the Republican Party), has never been worse. Republicans are trying to divide us, but he did not give – she added.


 
 
 

As expected, Clinton decisively defeated Sanders in the southern states, with a significant percentage of voters from minority Hispanic and primarily African-American, which was massively supported it in previous primaries. In states where he won Sanders, clearly dominates the white electorate and more leftist, among which senator is the most popular.


 

In addition to “regular” delegates, Clinton has a huge advantage over Sanders in terms of the so-called. superdelegates, or prominent Democrats who will take part in the convention, regardless of the results of state primaries. In total, it has supported more than 400 of the 713 superdelegates all.


 

This result gives the former Secretary of State voices of the majority of delegates and strengthens the leadership position in the fight for the Democratic nomination. Sanders will be very difficult to make up for the loss in subsequent primaries.


 

Wcześneij given, not having yet the results of Superwtorku Clinton has already won 544 delegates, and Sanders 85. At the same time these figures include the so-called. superdelegates.

 

Wins Trump

 

Billionaire Donald Trump won on Tuesday primaries of the Republican Party (GOP) in at least seven states. But his advantage over his rivals were not as great as promised to the polls. Senator Ted Cruz won in two states, and Senator Marko Rubio in one.


 

However, thanks to the result of his billionaire increase the advantage over rivals in terms of the number of delegates.


 
 

(Donald Trump proposes to build a wall on the border with Mexico. Speech during the election campaign; RUPLTY / x-news)

 

Trump – to the dismay of Washington elites GOP – strengthens its position as a firm favorite in the race for the GOP nomination.


 

His voters are mostly white people and poorly educated, whose standard of living has deteriorated in recent years

 
 
 

The handle is still pending?

 

In the primaries, known as Super Tuesday (Super Tuesday), I took part in them at the same time the largest number of states, a political outsider Trump won in Georgia, Alabama, Tennessee, Massachusetts, Virginia, Vermont and Arkansas. However, its advantage over rivals not everywhere was overwhelming. In Virginia Trump defeated supported by the establishment GOP Senator Rubio less than three percentage points, and in Arkansas ultra-conservative Senator Cruz only four points rates.


 

This means that in these states despite victory Trump will gain almost the same number of delegates as rivals for the July GOP convention, which nominates the party’s candidate in the November US presidential election. For example, Virginia Trump takes the convention 17, and Rubio, 16 delegates – calculated a CNN television.


 

In addition, Trump lost on Tuesday in four states.


 

In all, Super Tuesday GOP candidates fought up to 595 delegates, and the need to win the race 1237th TV CNN estimates that so far – including the four states that voted before – Trump has already won at least 315 delegates, Cruz – 205, Rubio – 106, Governor of Ohio John Kasich – 27, a retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson – 7.

 

Trump believes in victory

 

In preached on Tuesday night speech Trump had no doubt that he will win the nomination, and then lead the Republican Party to win the White House from the Democrats. – We will be even bigger party and more unifying – argued, in response to criticism that divides the Republican Party. He argued that attracts new groups electorate because of his voters are independent people and they were Democrats. He also assured that it is “more conservative than their rivals when it comes to illegal immigration and matters concerning the army, and as president of the United States to repair infrastructure in the United States.” – Currently, we are like a third world country in terms of infrastructure – said the billionaire.


 

The Phantom of the double failure

 

The prospect of gain for the GOP presidential nomination Trump wakes growing frustration establishment and donor parties, because it can mean not only a defeat in the race for the White House, but also the fact that in the autumn elections the Republicans will lose control of the US Senate. Trump calls for such negative opinions of the analysts expect a large mobilization of the voters of the Democratic Party against him in the November election.


 

Ted Cruz will face Donald Trumpowi?

 

ultraconservative Senator Ted Cruz, who won Tuesday’s primaries GOP in the native Texas, and – surprisingly – also in Oklahoma, appealed to rivals to withdraw from the presidential race, because only he is able to overcome billionaire Donald Trump.


 
 
 

Texas is the largest of the states voting in Tuesday’s primaries in the US, which will come up to 155 delegates to the July convention of the Republican Party (GOP), which nominates the party’s candidate in the November presidential election. Polls have long foretold that he would win here ultraconservative Cruz.


 

But beyond Texas, Cruz won on Tuesday, also in Oklahoma (though polls heralded victory here Trump) where it will come from 43 delegates to the GOP convention.


 

Cruz also reported victory in Alaska.


 

It all strengthens its position in seeking to be recognized as the only alternative to the controversial Trump.


 

– Today the campaign entered a new phase. We started with 17 candidates. Today the time has come for decisions and choices. As long as the field is divided nomination Trump is more likely, and it will be a disaster for the GOP and the nation. (…) My campaign is the only one who can beat and Donald Trump – Cruz said in a speech Tuesday night in a family of Texas.


 

Cruz wants contenders quit

 

Ted Cruz stressed that so far only he was able to overcome the three Trump in the primaries and therefore turned to three other GOP contenders to chair the President of the United States to withdraw from the race and joined his campaign. – We will welcome you in our team. This is the only way to defeat the Trump – he said – “America should not have a president whose words awaken embarrassment and shame.”


 

The call to resign rejected the 44-year-old senator from Florida, Marco Rubio, who is a candidate of the party establishment and a victory in one of stranów where yesterday voted for Republicans – Minnesota. Marko Rubio, however, many states took a strong second place.


 
 
 

– Next will be even better. I still think Trumpowi not manage to win 1,237 delegates – Rubio also said in an interview with CNN.


 

Far behind followed by while the Governor of Ohio John Kasich and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson.


 

Cruz, which is popular mainly very religious, conservative evangelicals it is not a favorite of the Republican elite. The 45-year-old senator, like Trump, presents itself as a candidate “antyestablishmentowy.” Though it is just US senator first term is already famous as one of the most uncompromising politicians. Fighting for the repeal of the controversial health care reform Obamacare, for 21 hours two years ago blocked the rostrum of the Senate to block the adoption of the US budget. The result was a dozen days shutdown, or paralysis of the federal institutions and the forced leave thousands of civil servants.


 

Expert: not all a foregone conclusion

 

This is what created the Trump “is a nationalist, populist movement. (…) I do not believe that can unite the party,” – found during a recent debate in the conservative think tank American Entreprise Institute known analyst dealing with conservative parties and the the Republican, Henry Olsen.

But according to Olsen, despite winning in many states during Sueprwtorku nomination for the presidential Trump is not yet a foregone conclusion. “It is still possible way to one alternative candidate defeated Trump and won – rated on Tuesday Olsen. He stressed, however, that you need to act quickly.

Many analysts also recalls that on March 15 will apply new, introduced by GOP in 2012, the principle of “winner takes all.” Now delegates are assigned in proportion to the result. If, for example. Rubio, who is a senator from Florida and win on March 15 in this large and relatively moderate condition, it will win all 99 delegates per this state and significantly strengthen their chances in the fight against Trump.

a growing number of supporters of GOP also hopes that Trump will not help during the July convention delegates to the GOP if his victory in the primaries will not be overwhelming. it screenplay called a brokered convention. it assumes that only the delegates in the first ballot vote as states of origin, and in the second and another may support a person who did not even participate in the primaries.

 

PAP / IAR / agkm

 
 

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