Room instead of weapons – diplomatic offensive Merkel and Hollande – Gazeta.pl

Merkel decided to direct talks with Putin in Moscow, which recently categorically rejected and avoided like the plague though summits, which are not well prepared. What takes time: weeks or even months of consultation at expert level, secretaries of state, deputy ministers. Now, however, the game was part of the utmost importance and that in the face of the failure of the talks at the level of Ministers of Foreign Affairs: to prevent the “eleventh hour” threat of transformation of Russian-Ukrainian conflict in continental Europe, if not the world. In short, the war between NATO and Russia. Superpower with feet of clay, but with the potential of 8.5 thousand nuclear warheads.

Pour ing oil on the fire

Merkel speaks bluntly about this, like President Poroshenko. Reasons for the escalation is missing. In the first place should mention the potential opportunity to supply Ukraine arms by the US, to which they aspire American hawks. Contradictions in this matter appeared in the statements of local politicians and the military, show that in the Washington consequences of such a move is seen as pouring oil on the fire. The more that the sensational reports of alleged autism Putin, you can expect the scenario of events unpredictable Spinon by the President of Russia, which is itself the power of pathological neurotransmitters. What prior months already diagnosed Chancellor Merkel.

Merkel and Hollande’s mission is not only to prevent escalation of the conflict, but also exaggerated Ukraine’s defeat in the war. The Ukrainian army military dimension, with podkopanym morale, shortages in equipment, located in the back. 8000 Ukrainian soldiers closed by pro-Russian separatists in the boiler under the village Dobalcewo, Donetsk and Lugansk between. During these hours the civilian population is exported from the cities buses. Separatist troops also stand at the gates of the port Mariupol, półmilionowego industrial center in the south of the country.

Strategy Poroshenko has failed

In the political dimension of the strategy against the pro-Russian President Poroshenko civilians in Donbas, has failed. Withdrawal of the social benefits, pensions, grants hospitals and schools, further pushed her into his arms Putin. Separatist troops swell overnight. Russian military untrained volunteers transformed into a pro-Russian criminal regular troops. The same economic blockade of Donbas by Kiev was neutralized by “humanitarian convoys” of Russia. For which the local population is its “extremely grateful”. Antyukraińskiego raises propaganda machinery drum, unfortunately hitting opponent weak point: the prevalence of corruption and the oligarchs in Ukraine. What are convinced many people of the country. They criticize the actions of government officials and parliamentarians that routinely buy German Mercedes and protect their sons from his enlistment in the army. Despite this, in Kiev there is no shortage of hawks, prefer a military solu tion to the conflict. This makes it difficult position dialogue Ukrainian president, who before his own people must admit to another, after the Crimea to withdraw part of the country.

Merkel and Hollande had so what in Moscow crushed a copy. Their return to the proposal from Minsk in September last. Year (ceasefire, withdrawal of heavy military equipment from the area of ​​fighting and isolation of autonomous Donbas from Ukraine), according to the leaks, but it includes more territorial concessions in relation to the original. According to the new course of the front line. Generally, Merkel and Hollande’s plan resembles the model, which is valid for two decades on Zadniestrzu, where the borders of Moldova part of the territory only de jure belongs to her.

Although the behavior of “autonomous” within the Ukrainian Donbass is also possible to stir up conflict in the future by Putin, who remains the blind vision of Russia as a superpower. And what is more likely to create a buffer zone separating his empire from democratic countries. With him dangerous virus of democracy. In his opinion, more dangerous than the costs borne by the country in the form of a weakening of the ruble and the threat of a large outbreak of the economic crisis. Independent Ukraine will always be for Putin red cloth on the bull.

The EU must maintain the unity

There one dimension of the meeting in Moscow. Important for the EU itself. At the moment it seems the two exams, with foreign and domestic policy. In the face of developments in Greece must retain its internal unity and avoid to ensure that the financial crisis has turned into a political one. And on the foreign policy agenda to prove that he is ready to defend their democratic values. In this context, the last two days bring good news. Cipras prime minister and his finance minister descent of tone. A Washington stresses that the decision to supply defensive weapons (radars and missile weapons) for Ukraine, where the final mission Merkel and Hollanda’a will fall, will be “the most accurate way,” consulted with Europe. Therefore, in this Monday, German Chancellor goes to Washington to meet with President Obama that the military option for Ukraine wants to capitalize at least in terms of pressure on Putin.

Room instead of weapons – diplomatic offensive Merkel and Hollande – Gazeta.pl